Eligibility

Open to global participants (academics, industry professionals, students, and independent researchers).

• Teams of 1-5 members (individual submissions allowed).

• Multidisciplinary teams encouraged (AI/ML, economics, trade policy, data science).

• Each participant must belong to a single team.

• All participants must be able to identify themselves as natural persons (no pseudonyms or “sock puppet” accounts).

Goal

Create the best forecast of future trade flows.

Teams will have to submit a model forecasting the top 100 trade flows for the United States and China with their 100 top trade partners at the HS4 product level for the month of September of 2025.

Submissions will be due on June 30, 2025 and will be evaluated before the end of the year (soon after September trade data for the US and China becomes available).

Predictions about US and China trade flows will be evaluated respectively against trade data published by the US and China.

The team that is able to better forecast those trade flows will be declared the winner.

Prizes

First Prize:
3000 USD
Free OEC Premium accounts for 2 years for all team members.

Second Prize:
2000 USD
Free OEC Premium accounts for 2 years for all team members.

Third Prize:
1000 USD
Free OEC Premium accounts for 2 years for all team members.